Behind Bush’s bluster, a bleak economy
‘Recovery’ brings more suffering for workers
By
Fred Goldstein
Published Jan 12, 2006 9:11 AM
The day after the December jobs report was
issued by the Labor Department, President George W. Bush stood at the podium at
the Chicago Economic Club. “The American economy heads into 2006 with a
full head of steam. ... We’re productive. We’re innovative.
We’re entrepreneurial,” he declared.
The basis for his
carefully stage-managed excitement was thin to non-existent: a job gain of
108,000 for the month and a drop in the official unemployment rate from 5.0
percent to 4.9 percent.
In a move that had the Karl Rove touch, Bush sent
Vice President Dick Cheney and a good chunk of his cabinet on the road to talk
up the economy and try to make these anemic numbers look like a major turning
point in the economy for 2006. Cheney went to a Harley-Davidson factory in
Kansas City, Mo., Treasury Secretary John Snow to the New York Stock Exchange,
Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez to Louisville, Ky., Labor Secretary Elaine
Chao to Baltimore and Energy Secretary Sam Bodman to Pittsburgh in a major
effort to try to bring Bush’s sinking poll numbers up.
Bush was
pushed into motion by the latest Gallup poll, which found 63 percent of the
population rates the economy fair-to-poor and 58 percent say that economic
conditions are getting worse. So the roaring economy, as far as the majority of
the population is concerned, is no more real than the weapons of mass
destruction in Iraq.
Of course, neither Bush nor his emissaries mentioned
that the job-creation numbers were half what Wall Street economists had been
predicting. Nor did they mention that it takes 150,000 new jobs per month just
to keep up with population growth. And they did not confide that the entire
unemployment number is understated because more and more people have given up
looking for jobs and are not counted in the labor force, or are only able to
find part-time work.
In the world of the working class, employed and
unemployed—the people who create all the wealth and profit that is being
disposed of by the brokers, bankers and bosses—the picture is not so rosy.
No recovery for workers
Wages grew at 3.1 percent but
inflation was 3.5 percent. This amounts to a general wage cut of 0.4 percent.
Average weekly hours worked were down 0.2 percent to 33.7 hours and average
weekly earnings were flat at $550.66. (Los Angeles Times, Jan. 6) This does not
take into account the hundreds of thousands of day laborers and other
undocumented workers, who are underpaid and whose much lower wages go
unreported.
Little to nothing was said in the capitalist press about the
way racism and sexism are reflected in the statistics. Rarely cited from the
Labor Department report for the month is the fact that African American
unemployment is over twice that for white workers, 9.3 percent compared to 4.2
percent; Latino unemployment is 6.0 percent; and among women at least 20 years
old, it is 8.5 percent. Teenage unemployment is 13.4 percent. There are no
statistics on lesbian, gay, bi or trans unemployment.
Of course, even
these official statistics are suspect, given the fact, for example, that half
the African American men in New York’s Harlem are known to be unemployed.
The masses of workers are hurting and not just because of one month of
the capitalist economy. Here are some of the findings of the Economic Policy
Institute, a liberal think tank, as compiled by EPI President Law rence Michel
and Director Ross Eisenbrey and issued in a Dec. 21
release.
Inflation-adjusted wages are still below where they were at the
start of the recovery in November 2001. Productivity, on the other hand, is up
by 13.5 percent.
Wage growth has been shortchanged because 35 percent of
the growth of total income has gone into corporate profits.
Median
household income (inflation-adjusted) has fallen five years in a row; it was
$46,129 in 1999 and only $44,389 in 2004. Thus, household income dropped on the
average almost $2,000.
Over the last four years the indebtedness of U.S.
households has risen 35.7 percent, the highest level of debt in history, and now
amounts to 115 percent of after-tax income. On average, people are paying 13.6
percent of their earnings in interest to banks and credit card companies to
cover this debt.
The percent of the population that has a job has never
recovered since the last recession and is still 1.3 percent lower than in March
2001. More than 3 million manufacturing jobs have been lost since January 2000.
The poverty rate rose from 11.3 percent of the population in 2000 to 12.7
percent in 2004 and the number of people living in poverty has increased by 5.4
million over that period. The poverty rate for children has gone from 16.2
percent in 2000 to 17.8 percent in 2004.
Household health-care costs rose
between 43 and 45 percent from 2000 to 2003. Last year the percent of people
with employer-provided health care fell for the fourth straight year. Nearly 3.7
million fewer people had health-care insurance in 2004 than in 2000.
According to Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research Educational
Trust, since 2000 alone employers have raised the health-insurance premium their
workers must pay by an average of 50 percent—or about $1,000 per family.
Only 63 percent of the working-age population has any health coverage at all,
meaning that over a third of the working-age population, or about 45 million
people, have none. (Los Angeles Times, Oct. 10, 2004)
And while the
bosses added 2 million jobs in the year 2005, they also laid off at least 1.56
million workers between Jan uary and November 2005, according to the Bureau of
Labor Statistics. And this number is a gross underestimate. It only records
layoffs involving 50 or more workers, who are out of work for 31 days or more,
and relies completely on the bosses’ testimony to the
BLS.
‘Recovery’ for the rich
In the boardrooms,
the executive suites and the country clubs there is a recovery, and no wonder.
The Dow Jones stock average has finally risen to 11,000, the Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) grew at 4.2 percent and, according to Paul Krugman’s column
in the Dec. 5 New York Times, profits have risen more than 50 percent since the
last quarter of 2001 while wages and salaries went up 7 percent over the same
period. This wage and salary number is distorted, however, because it includes
the salaries of CEOs, high-paid executives and managers of all types. Average
hourly earnings of non-supervisory workers, adjusted for inflation, are lower
now than when the “recovery” began.
All talk of “strong
performance” of the economy means little to the 35,000 GM workers facing
layoffs at 10 plants or the 25,000 workers at Ford also facing pink slips. They
and their families, as well as hundreds of thousands of people in the
communities where the plants are located, are living in a state of anxiety and
tension over the impending shutdowns. Both GM and Ford are on the brink of
bankruptcy and may be looking to the bankruptcy courts to help bail them out in
the same way the courts bailed out Delta Airlines. They are working with the
Delphi auto parts corporation to try to break union
contracts.
IBM’s assault on pensions
IBM announced in
early January that it will freeze the $48 billion pension fund for its 125,000
workers beginning in 2008 and push them into 401k plans.
Instead of being
able to rely on fixed pension benefits, paid out by IBM based upon their years
of service to the company—really, years of exploitation—the workers
will have to contribute out of their own paychecks into funds that will be used
by brokers to gamble on the stock market or be put into money-market accounts.
And this at a time when market “fundamentals” are increasingly
shaky.
IBM will make small contributions to the 401k plans, but they will
be far below the fixed-benefit pension-fund contribution the company was paying.
IBM expects to save $450 million to $500 million this year alone and up to $3
billion from 2006 to 2010.
While corporations like Delta, Delphi and
Bethlehem Steel have used the bankruptcy courts to get out of pension obligation
to the workers, IBM is the first big corporation to just abandon its pension as
a matter of policy on such a scale.
Of course, IBM is a non-union company
and feels free to unilaterally dictate what amounts to a massive wage cut.
Pension benefits are nothing but deferred wages, which the corporation is
legally responsible to hold and protect for workers until they retire.
This frontal assault by IBM is likely to serve as a signal for other
corporations to try to get out of fixed pension benefit plans.
Banks
and Chapter 11 scam
According to Mark Ruetter, writing in the Oct. 23
Washington Post, “About 150 major corporations are now in some stage of
bankruptcy reorganization, including four of the nation’s leading
airlines. As the prospect of other large enterprises taking a spin down Chapter
11 becomes more widely discussed in business circles (‘maybes’ on
the list include such iconic names as General Motors and Ford), the tactics used
in bankruptcy courts are shaking the very foundations of the American
workplace.”
Ruetter points out that while the new personal
bankruptcy laws make it more difficult for individuals to declare bankruptcy and
wipe out their mounting credit-card debt, amounting now to about $800 billion,
the bankruptcy courts are becoming a major instrument for the corporations to
wipe out the rights of their workers.
The Chapter 11 scam is a conspiracy
between the banks, the corporations and the courts against the working class.
Delphi is a graphic illustration of this conspiracy. Just before Delphi declared
bankruptcy, it not only had $1.6 billion in cash on hand but had secured $2
billion in loans and revolving credit from Citigroup and JP Morgan Chase bank.
The obvious question posed by Ruetter was, “If Delphi is so broke,
with unsustainable wage costs and skyrocketing pension obligations, why are two
of the nation’s major banks offering to lend it money on excellent credit
terms?
“The answer: For the same reason that Bank of America,
General Electric Capital Group, UBS Securities and ... ‘vulture
capitalists’ have invested billions of dollars in supposedly tattered
companies entering Chapter 11 since 2001. Investors can profit richly from the
meltdown of established companies....”
By making big loans, these
banks become protected creditors, whereas the workers are unprotected. The banks
can work with the reorganizers and the courts to void labor contracts and get
control over the cash flow of these companies while they are in
bankruptcy—and then become key players once they emerge from Chapter 11.
Global struggle for profits
These assaults upon the workers
are driven by the lust for profit and the need of these giant transnational
monopolies to position themselves for the vicious struggle being carried on for
survival and dominance in the global markets. They are fighting each other to
boost profitability, and they do it by attacking the workers. Bringing down
wages, in whatever form—cutting pensions and health benefits or just plain
wage cuts and layoffs—is the primary form in which capitalist corporations
fight each other. They call it being “competitive.”
It is not
just the individual greed of the bosses that drives them to attack the workers.
It is the profit system itself that drives the attacks. The
scientific-technological revolution has accelerated the construction of a global
network of capitalist production, with instant communication, cheap
transportation, computerized control of production, ordering and shipping, and
an advanced global division of labor in production and services.
Each
advance in technology and organization increases the productivity of labor, or
in Marxist terms, increases the rate of exploitation of labor and the potential
profit of the bosses. But with each advance, more commodities must be sold at a
profit. That means they must be produced in less time as workers work faster,
harder and longer, either at new and expensive machines, in super-modern
factories managed by computers, or in speeded-up poultry and meat packing
plants, strip mines, fisheries and just about everywhere.
In the global
struggle for profit, all labor processes—whether in hospitals, offices or
fields—come under pressure as the bosses pit workers against workers.
U.S. capitalism’s crisis
of
overproduction
But in this process, the capitalist class increases its
own crisis, the crisis of overproduction that it struggles to overcome. Each
capitalist grouping’s goal is to produce more, sell more and reduce or
eliminate labor. This brings about an increasing crisis for the workers.
After the last four economic crises, during each recovery it has been
harder and harder for the system to absorb and reemploy the workers. According
to statistics compiled by the Economic Policy Institute, published on Jan. 6 in
a document entitled “The Jobs Picture,” the job growth figures over
49 months of each recovery have steadily diminished:
* March 1975 to April
1979:
16.7 percent,
* November 1982 to December 1986: 13.2
percent,
* March 1991 to April 1995:
7.8 percent,
* November 2001
to December 2005: 2.7 percent.
After each crisis it has become
increasingly difficult to put workers back to work. With each crisis the giant
corporations merge. They have “efficiency” layoffs. They make new
investments in labor-saving machinery and technology to boost profitability.
They build more and more powerful means of production.
And they must sell
more and more commodities to recoup the cost of the expensive technology and
plants and still have enough left over for the fabulous profits that they live
for. The corporations run up against capitalist overproduction again and again.
And each time it is more difficult for them to make their profits.
To
keep production going, they resort to credit, either from the federal government
in the form of low interest rates or consumer credit. According to the Wall
Street Journal of Jan. 10, consumer credit, not counting mortgages, now amounts
to $2.1 trillion.
In the sphere of production and exploitation, they
outsource to low-wage areas, pit workers in other countries against workers in
the U.S., and attack unions, wages, pensions and benefits.
Right now the
corporations have accumulated vast profits that they cannot reinvest. U.S.
corporations are rich with cash. According to the Wall Street Journal of Nov. 3,
“World pension, insurance and mutual funds have $46 trillion at their
disposal, up almost a third from 2000. In the same period global central-bank
reserves have doubled to $4 trillion, and other gauges of available capital have
risen as well.”
The Journal points out that global investors are
diving into a wide range of risky assets. All are speculative and almost none
have anything to do with production of wealth. They buy financial instruments,
fine art, real estate and real-estate backed debt, etc.
Of this wealth,
some has only paper value, the rest is nothing more than profits taken out of
the labor process, taken from the workers in the form of surplus value. It is
being held because it cannot be profitably invested in production. The
ever-growing constraints of the world market upon the increasingly productive
economy of the U.S. and the entire world capitalist class, tend to restrict
investment. This in turn leads to unemployment and increased exploitation in
order to get more profits from the workers.
Crisis at home, wars
abroad
This global struggle for markets, resources and investment
drives the bosses to war. That is what drove the Bush group to try to conquer
the oil in Iraq. That is what is driving them to try to conquer Iran and North
Korea, to threaten China, to try to overthrow Hugo Chávez in Venezuela
and to blockade Cuba.
Their foreign adventures are simply an extension of
their vicious, racist, exploitative practices at home. The racism against Iraqis
is just an example of the way racism and chauvinism in general have been used in
the service of imperialist war, from the 1898 war with Spain when the U.S. took
over the Philippines, Cuba and Puerto Rico to the Vietnam War.
This
situation cannot proceed in a straight line.
In fact, the Delphi workers
are beginning to fight back against the attempt to drastically cut their wages
and benefits under cover of the bankruptcy law.
The Transport Workers
Union in New York City took an historic stand against the very center of U.S.
finance capital on Wall Street and walked off the job to stop an assault on
their pensions and to fight for dignity. They stood up in the face of the
no-strike Taylor Law, the bondholders of the Metropolitan Transit Authority, and
a vicious anti-labor mayor and governor.
Janitors in Texas have recently
organized in an unprecedented victory.
The capitalist class and its system
have ensured more and greater class struggles to come. It is a revival of the
working-class struggle that will push society forward.
U.S. bosses have
had relative labor peace for several decades. But in their insatiable thirst for
profit and their drive to overcome their crisis of overproduction they will
inevitably awaken a response from the multinational working class in the
direction of rebellion and the opening of a counteroffensive.
The
contradiction between the vast socially operated world apparatus of coordinated
production on the one hand and the private ownership of the world economy by a
tiny group of corporate billionaires on the other can only be overcome through
struggle. The means to produce all this great wealth has been built by the
working class, not by the exploiters. The workers must take it over and use it
not for private profit but for satisfying human need—for health care,
housing, education, jobs and a decent life. That is the very essence of
socialism.
Articles copyright 1995-2012 Workers World.
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