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NATIONAL FIGHTBACK CONFERENCE

Iraq war and Bush victory:
Prospects for struggle

Excerpts from a talk by WWP Secretariat member Fred Goldstein at the Nov. 13-14 National Fightback Conference.

Today the dominant political developments in the world are the war in Iraq and the Bush election. As Marxists, we must probe these events, their relation to one another, and the underlying class forces at play--and attempt to glimpse the future in order to better prepare for struggle.

Here we have a reactionary election victory and a reactionary war of conquest--and it is now once again truly a war to secure an occupation. How will they affect each other? Will reaction triumph now that the Bush administration has not only won re-election, but secured control over both houses of Congress, with a 55 to 45 majority in the Senate?

Will the forces of reaction that have triumphed at the political summits of society dominate capitalist society? Or will the class contradictions generated by this vicious colonial war burst through the surface of reaction at the commanding heights in Washington?

The last protracted colonial war, the Vietnam war, and the contradictions of the Lyndon Johnson administration are instructive. In office after the Kennedy assassination from 1963 to 1968, the Johnson administration was totally different from the present Bush administration politically.

Johnson came to office at the height of the civil-rights movement -during the sit-ins, the freedom rides, the mass resistance led by the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. Tens of thousands of African Americans, particularly youths and students, were challenging the bastions of segregation and legalized racism in all its forms--from ending white-only facilities to demanding the right to vote.

Johnson was the political leader from Texas who had once voted against an anti-lynching law. Under the impact of the struggle, he became the capitalist leader who made historic political concessions and signed the Civil Rights Act, the Voting Rights Act and the 24th Amendment to the Constitution that outlawed the poll tax he had once upheld.

The ruling-class factions behind Johnson were deeply concerned about the rise of the Black movement. They saw the possibility it would turn into a full-fledged liberation movement, an extension of the worldwide decolonization movement.

The bosses knew that to contain this movement would require more than conceding political rights. They would have to ease up on the colonial-type oppression and superexploitation of the African American population. They decided they would have to put resources into improving the deplorable conditions in the African American community and in other regions of deep poverty.

In March 1964, Johnson made a major speech about the "Great Society." It was the prelude to a whole raft of legislative proposals to put money into the inner cities and depressed areas. But in August 1964, Johnson and the Pentagon staged the Gulf of Tonkin incident and initiated a congressional resolution, something like the Iraq War resolution, authorizing an escalation of the war in Vietnam.

The U.S. ruling class was trying to stem the tide of struggle at home by making economic concessions--while at the same time trying to wage a colonial war to conquer Vietnam and displace the French as the colonial power.

And just as the Pentagon dreams of setting up permanent military bases with which to threaten and dominate the Persian Gulf and the Middle East, so then the Pentagon set up military bases all over south Vietnam with the aim of threatening China and strengthening U.S. domination of the Pacific.

But instead of victory through escalation, the Johnson administration became bog ged down in a quagmire. He had to send over 500,000 troops to Vietnam. The dreamed-of profits from the conquest of Vietnam turned into hundreds of billions of dollars in losses that the masses paid for.

Johnson talked about the Great Society. Meanwhile he sent more and more money to the military and more and more troops to kill and be killed in Vietnam. Social contradictions increased. There were rebellions in the Black community, from Harlem to Watts to Detroit to Newark, as the funds for social spending were increasingly diverted to the war.

In 1968, when Martin Luther King Jr. was assassinated, there were rebellions in over 100 cities.

These rebellions resulted in affirmative action. The ruling class feared a war at home at the same time that they were trying to wage a war abroad. Affirmative action, while it improved the opportunities for Black people, cost the bourgeoisie nothing in social spending.

Thus the consequences of the Vietnam War, a losing colonial war, heightened the social and economic contradictions at home and led to massive urban rebellions.

The current administration is announcing its intention to raid Social Security and to make permanent the tax breaks for the rich on capital gains and dividends. Bush has a program of pushing back the workers; pushing the anti-union, so-called "right to work" of attacking overtime; cutting back health benefits; and generally pushing ahead with the transfer of income to the rich.

But the administration has an unwin nable imperialist occupation that it has already poured $200 billion into, and it's going to ask for another $70 billion. The attack on Falluja guarantees that they will have to expand the occupation.

Bush is going to try to make the working class and the oppressed pay for this quagmire, in blood and money. This war is going to intensify the class contradictions in the United States.

The working class as a whole is poorer than it was during the Vietnam era. It is more multinational. There are more women and more open lesbian, gay, bi and trans people in the work force.

Nothing in the election result showed that the masses of workers have shifted to the right. The reaction is at the top.

The prospects are for economic decline and more war. These are ingredients for challenging the Bush reaction in a real way--not just with protests but with struggle and resistance of the workers, the young, women, lesbian, gay, bi and trans people, immigrants, and all who are going to suffer the burden of the war and the capitalist economy.

Reprinted from the Nov. 25, 2004, issue of Workers World newspaper

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