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What U.S. is trying to do in Palestine

By Richard Becker

Is Washington contemplating a U.S. protectorate in Palestine? According to Martin Indyk, who ran the White House's Middle East policy during President Bill Clinton's first term, the answer is yes.

On May 7, President George W. Bush welcomed Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon to Washington for the fifth time in his 16-month presidency. Bush, formerly known as "Governor Death" for the record number of executions he approved as governor of Texas, once again called the bloodthirsty Sharon "my friend" and "a man of peace."

At the same time, Bush attacked Palestinian Authority President Yasser Arafat, with whom he has never met, in highly arrogant and condescending terms. "He has disappointed me as a leader," Bush said of Arafat. "He has to lead ... he has to perform ... he needs to earn my respect," etc., etc., ad nauseam.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollars continue to flow like a mighty river into Israel's coffers, at a rate of $321,000 per hour, 24 hours a day, seven days a week, 52 weeks a year-half of it in the form of military assistance.

Given the above, no one can believe that the U.S. is an honest broker. Clearly it's not just an Israeli, but a U.S.-Israeli war, being waged against the Palestinians.

As in all wars, what binds the alliance partners together is a common enemy, not necessarily common goals. Both seek to deny the long-oppressed Palestinians any real justice or self-determination. But beyond that, the real aims of the U.S. and Israeli ruling groups are far from identical.

Commonalities and differences

The differences between Bush and Sharon emerged immediately in their May 7 meeting. When asked by the media if a Palestinian state should be the goal of the "peace process," Bush replied, "Yes, I haven't changed my position."

Sharon responded that it was "still premature to discuss this issue," before there was "reform" of the Palestinian Authority. It would be hard to imagine a more openly colonialist position than Sharon's.

The Bush-Sharon meeting ended with news that a suicide bombing had killed 16 people and wounded more than 50 others. The bombing in the Israeli city of Rush Le Zion was said to be in retaliation for Israel's massive assault on Palestinian cities and refugee camps, which killed hundreds of people and left behind enormous destruction.

What Sharon and his government are seeking is clear: to incorporate as much of the West Bank as possible into the Israeli state and prevent the emergence of any kind of Palestinian state. Bush, on the other hand, wants to offer the Palestinians a weak, broken-up and U.S.-dominated entity that might be called a "state," but would lack control over its own borders, economy and security forces.

Sharon is part of the dominant grouping in Israel which, for more than half a century, has aspired to expand Israel's borders. As long ago as 1949, merely a year after the creation of the Israeli state, Sharon's mentor Moshe Dayan told a U.S. diplomat, "The present borders of Israel are ridiculous."

Sharon's is the latest in a long series of Israeli governments-Labor, Likud and "National Unity"--determined to expand those borders. Central to achieving this objective is the liquidation of the Palestinian resistance movement and the elimination of all institutions and organizations that challenge Israeli hegemony.

The Bush administration and the U.S. ruling class agree that the Palestinian national liberation movement must be eliminated or decisively weakened. That is why the U.S. initiated what is known as the Oslo "peace process" in the early 1990s.

What is driving U.S. policy, however, is not Palestinian land, but a much larger interest: the long-established goal of controlling the Middle East as a whole, and the Persian/Arabian Gulf-home to two-thirds of the world's petroleum reserves-in particular.

To secure that strategic objective, the Bush government is very anxious to launch a new all-out war on Iraq, a country already decimated by nearly 12 years of blockade and bombing. Iraq itself possesses 10 percent of the world's oil.

While Iraq has been greatly weakened by the U.S. war and sanctions, its government has not surrendered to Washington's demands. For the past several years, "regime change" has been the official U.S. policy toward Iraq. In other words, the U.S. openly states its intention to overthrow the Iraqi government and replace it with one that will take orders from Washington.

But there is no Iraqi opposition movement with the popular base to lead this effort, even with massive U.S. support. The projected overthrow, Pentagon planners have concluded, can only be accomplished by a U.S. invasion of Iraq involving hundreds of thousands of troops. Recent reports speculate that the Pentagon is planning such an operation for early 2003.

Establishing a puppet government in Baghdad would also greatly weaken the position of Iran, the other relatively large and populous country in the region not in the U.S. orbit.

Obstacle to new war against Iraq

A major obstacle to launching such a major new war is the already burning anger toward the U.S. throughout the region. This anger has several sources, including the U.S. military occupation of much of the Gulf region and the suffering of the Iraqi people due to the U.S./UN blockade.

What has greatly intensified popular outrage throughout the region is the vicious repression of the Palestinians. While the corporate media here focus on Israeli casualties, media in the Arab world regularly show the far greater and more systematic suffering imposed on the Palestinian people by the Israeli occupation.

That popular anger manifested itself as a political force in March and April when the largest and most militant demonstrations in decades broke out in capitals and smaller cities throughout the Middle East. Even the most aggressive militarists in the administration had to acknowledge the seriousness of the situation.

Vice President Dick Cheney's tour of 10 Middle East countries in March was intended to line up support for the new war on Iraq. But Cheney found that even the most compliant regimes-like those in Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain-demanded that the U.S. put off its Iraq plans until something was done to calm the rising anger over Palestine. Exacerbating that anger with a new strike on Iraq, it quickly became clear, could endanger the very existence of some pro-U.S. regimes.

It was the Palestinian struggle and mass support for the Palestinian cause that forced the Bush administration to re-engage in the "peace process."

The administration's strategy promises nothing positive for the Palestinians. While the besieged Arafat leadership has been calling upon the U.S. to restrain Sharon and the Israeli military, administration officials have made it clear that the price for any such actions is PA subservience to the U.S.

An example was the deal to release Arafat from his captivity in Ramallah. Six Palestinians, including the leader of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP), were turned over to U.S. "supervision" inside a PA jail in Jericho.

A Palestinian 'protectorate'?

On the day after the latest Bush-Sharon meeting, the New York Times editorially demanded that "the United States must seize control of the political agenda in the region and ... not let renewed violence sabotage efforts to construct a lasting peace."

Martin Indyk, in charge of Middle East affairs for the National Security Council in Clinton's first term, and subsequently U.S. ambassador to Israel, wrote in the Israeli daily Yediot Aharonot of April 26 that Bush's advisors are contemplating an "imposed solution. They are thinking in terms of a big response, really big.

"How will this imposed solution look? Concerning the Palestinians, because of Arafat's failed leadership and the collapse of PA institutions, this solution will require an international protectorate for a three-year period, which will remove control of the Palestinian state from Arafat's hands. With the help of guarantees from the Arab states, this international body, headed by the U.S., will be responsible for establishing the institutions of the new Palestinian state. These will be democratic, professional, transparent and open to criticism. This body will supervise the formulation of the new Palestinian constitution, in which the "ra'is" [president, for example, Arafat--RB] will have a function like that of the president in Israel.

"It will also supervise the inflow of aid on an enormous scale for building the state's economic infrastructure. The trustees will also need an international military force, to be headed by the U.S., which will maintain order, confront those who oppose the agreement, and build the new Palestinian security apparatus."

The imposed solution, said Indyk, would oblige Israel to dismantle some isolated settlements in the Gaza Strip and in the West Bank. The other settlements would be concentrated into three blocs, as envisioned at Camp David. The two sides would negotiate on final borders, on the future of Jerusalem, and on the refugees. No Palestinian refugees would be allowed to return inside the 1967 borders of Israel under the plan.

"How can Bush impose such a thing," Indyk asked, "when he can't even achieve a cease-fire?" Indyk answered that if the conflict intensifies, endangering vital U.S. interests, "oil and regional stability, the world's only superpower, with massive international backing, will be able to do what it wants."

Whether Indyk's prediction is borne out remains to be seen. But there can be no question that the U.S. is moving in the direction of greater direct intervention.

As Sharon flew to Israel on May 8, Bush announced that he was dispatching CIA Director George Tenet to the region to begin organizing a new Palestinian security force in the West Bank, to replace the one largely destroyed by Israel.

Reprinted from the May 16, 2002, issue of Workers World newspaper

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