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BRAZIL AUSTERITY PLAN

'Test case' for IMF blood-letting

By Molly Charboneau

With local elections over, Brazil President Fernando Henrique Cardoso has wasted no time announcing sweeping austerity measures. They are aimed at raising $84 billion over three years-through budget cuts and tax hikes. That would "qualify" Brazil for more than $30 billion in loans from imperialist banks and the International Monetary Fund.

Brazil's austerity plan took shape as the Group of Seven imperialist nations announced plans for a global bailout fund to head off financial crises. It is seen as the test case for future G7 policies.

This bailout is designed to rescue the big imperialist banks. Yet even they are wary.

With a capitalist economic crisis sweeping the globe, they have to wonder if this blood-letting plan will kill off yet another source of their golden eggs.

Calling for "national unity," Cardoso detailed what the Brazilian government will put on the chopping block to pay off the IMF and a consortium of imperialist banks. The plan includes a 10-percent cut in health and education funds, an increase in what public employees have to pay into their pension funds, a requirement that retired public workers pay into social security, and cuts in state and local social-service budgets.

Specifics of the austerity plan may have come as a shock to Brazilian workers, farmers and oppressed peoples, including the populous and highly oppressed African-Brazilians.

But officials of the IMF, the World Bank, the U.S. Export-Import Bank, and other imperialist investors got a sneak preview. IMF officials met with Cardoso four days before his speech to review the austerity plan in detail.

The IMF plans to maintain a spy mission in Brazil for up to three weeks to make sure the plan is progressing.

If cutbacks do not move quickly enough, say imperialist analysts, the IMF may hold back and "drip-release" parts of the loan to pressure the Brazilian government to step up the pace.

"It is essential that Brazil implement its program promptly and convincingly," said U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert E. Rubin. Washington will commit $3 billion to $5 billion to the bailout plan.

According to Reuters, 20 percent of United States exports are sold in Latin America-the majority in Brazil. In addition, many U.S.-owned businesses are located in Brazil.

Brazilian elections:
a barometer of opposition

Brazil's state elections didn't turn back this assault. But they did reflect broad opposition to the austerity measures in many areas.

In São Paulo-Brazil's industrial powerhouse where millions of workers have produced a $300 billion economy the size of Argentina's-Cardoso ally Mario Covas was re-elected. He had won imperialist favor by restructuring debt, dismissing 100,000 municipal workers and auctioning off state-owned businesses.

But Itamar Franco, a bourgeois critic of Cardoso, won in Brazil's mining center of Minas Gerais. Center-left candidate Anthony Garotinho, who favors restricted cutbacks, was elected in Rio de Janeiro. And Olivio Dutra of the leftist Workers' Party, which has opposed the IMF deal, won in Rio Grande do Sur, an important agricultural state.

Elections can't turn back the capitalist assault on the workers. But they can be a barometer of the Brazilian masses' consciousness and outlook. Observers reported turnout was low and voters seemed subdued.

The government had to deploy troops in four northeastern provinces to force the elections forward at bayonet point. That is where the landless farmers' movement led seizures of stores and food shipments after a recent drought.

The austerity program leaves untouched such pork-barrel projects as an $800,000 moat being constructed around the Brazilian Congress to keep protesters out of the building. The real opposition to Brazil's austerity plan will come in the streets as clinics are closed, school funds are cut, unemployment rises, and the workers and poor fight back.

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